Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.006424 0.007162 0.007965 0.008907 0.009984 0.011181 0.012618
2025-06-08 0.005069 0.006031 0.007165 0.008607 0.010409 0.012604 0.015510
2025-06-15 0.004430 0.005503 0.006834 0.008626 0.011005 0.014099 0.018502
2025-06-22 0.004094 0.005269 0.006791 0.008938 0.011943 0.016082 0.022362
2025-06-29 0.003665 0.004849 0.006435 0.008759 0.012154 0.017055 0.024904
2025-07-06 0.003315 0.004492 0.006115 0.008573 0.012300 0.017915 0.027359
2025-07-13 0.003076 0.004261 0.005940 0.008564 0.012688 0.019156 0.030573
2025-07-20 0.002934 0.004152 0.005926 0.008782 0.013434 0.021036 0.035132
2025-07-27 0.002736 0.003941 0.005736 0.008701 0.013682 0.022115 0.038438
2025-08-03 0.002579 0.003779 0.005604 0.008695 0.014043 0.023416 0.042355
2025-08-10 0.002418 0.003597 0.005425 0.008589 0.014213 0.024388 0.045778
2025-08-17 0.002314 0.003495 0.005362 0.008672 0.014718 0.026030 0.050840
2025-08-24 0.002179 0.003340 0.005211 0.008603 0.014971 0.027286 0.055467
2025-08-31 0.002014 0.003126 0.004948 0.008313 0.014784 0.027664 0.058265
2025-09-07 0.001919 0.003022 0.004860 0.008331 0.015187 0.029295 0.064313
2025-09-14 0.001879 0.003006 0.004922 0.008630 0.016183 0.032327 0.074489
2025-09-21 0.001769 0.002861 0.004746 0.008459 0.016191 0.033187 0.079285
2025-09-28 0.001667 0.002725 0.004575 0.008280 0.016161 0.033953 0.084007
2025-10-05 0.001597 0.002641 0.004493 0.008271 0.016497 0.035626 0.091707
2025-10-12 0.001562 0.002616 0.004519 0.008481 0.017339 0.038662 0.104270
2025-10-19 0.001492 0.002524 0.004411 0.008403 0.017519 0.040064 0.112166
2025-10-26 0.001436 0.002454 0.004340 0.008398 0.017864 0.041951 0.122197
2025-11-02 0.001373 0.002367 0.004230 0.008296 0.017967 0.043204 0.130439